Preliminary evidence on relationships between agricultural commodities futures prices, spot prices and oil prices using reverse regressions

November 27, 2021 Siddhant Goyal

Date of Publication: Dec 12, 2014

Author: Phillip A. Cartwright and Natalija Riabko

Summary:

The focus of this research was on hypothesized relationships between agricultural commodities futures prices, respective spot prices and oil prices. The research uses reverse regressions to test for empirical relationships between variables. This article analyses the possible relationships taking into account intertemporal effects, temporal aggregation (daily and weekly), alternative time series model specifications (GARCH, E-GARCH) and assumptions on the distribution of residuals. Preliminary evidence indicates the significance of the hypothesized relationships for some cases. As evidence is by no means conclusive, directions for ongoing research are indicated.

Link to Full Reading:

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13504851.2014.978066